"Is it time for a house short sale? Do I need to do that?" Those are the questions that we all ask ourselves. As an investor in single family homes, I have to look at all the options from a business point of view and leave out the emotional attachments. I knew that with the housing downturn, some of my homes were worth much less than I owed on the loans. So I put pen to paper and here's how I decided what to do.
1) Find a Realtor: I'm using a realtor. I called a bunch of places that claimed they specialized in short sales, but most of them were referral services. My CPA advised me to run, if anyone asked me for money up front, and a bunch of them did. That seemed like sound advice, and I found that to be the general consensus among the professional community. I consulted my CPA, and my real estate attorney, and both of them advised me that a realtor would be the best person to handle my house short sales. Besides, they're used to talking with lenders. I chose to go with a real estate agent who is also happens to be a broker. I feel safe in using a person like this, because she has a "fiduciary duty" to look out for my best interests, and even more so because she is a broker. That's in the real estate laws!
2) Price It: The first step is of course, to determine just how much trouble your in. The worse the situation, the better your chances of a successful short sale. Most realtors will help give you a current fair market value for your house, and what the short sale price should be. Don't waste you money on an appraisal, they won't do you any good here! Be realistic, and be aggressive in lowering the price. Don't let emotional attachment to the house set the price. You'll be even more emotional if you can't sell it! The goal is to be relieved of the debt with a successful short sale.
3) Now Do Some Figuring: Here's where I figured out if I needed a short sale. You can follow along with your own numbers: Take your total loan amount, and subtract the present value of the house. Not what it's worth, but how much you can get for it TODAY. This is how much your "Upside Down" in the loan. Then, figure your annual expenses including a year's worth of payments, taxes, insurance, maintenance, and repairs. This is your "Yearly Cost" to keep the house. Now, take the amount your upside down and multiply it by 8%. We will assume the best case scenario. In a FAST appreciating market, this is how much your house value would go up each year, if the housing bubble was over today. (yeah right!) We'll call this number: "Appreciation per Year." Finally, divide the Upside Down amount, by Appreciation per Year. This is how many years it will take just to break even with the amount you owe on your loan. No profit, no realized appreciation. Now look at your Yearly Cost to Keep the House. Is it worth it to keep it for that many years?
Here's an example: A house was purchased with a $800,000 loan. In one year it has depreciated drastically and will sell for only $600,000. (these are real California scenarios!). Should the owner short sell the house?
Upside Down: $800,000 - $600,000 = $200,000 Annual Costs: Includes all yearly expenses = $60,000 Appreciation: Assuming a booming market = $200,000 x .08 = $16,000
Conclusion: It will take 12.5 years of appreciation at 8% per year, just to regain the depreciation or loss of the original value. It will cost $60,000 a year for 12.5 years just to break even. Most of the accruing interest still won't have been paid off and full ownership won't be any closer after 12.5 years of suffering. In 12.5 years, $750,000 will have been paid in mortgage payments and expenses, just get back to the original loan value.
You don't have to guess what I decided to do. My numbers we're very similar to these. I know I'll take a hit on my credit, but for me, 2 -3 years to rebuild my credit is a lot better than 12.5 years of suffering. I'm going to call it quits and live to fight another day. - 16003
1) Find a Realtor: I'm using a realtor. I called a bunch of places that claimed they specialized in short sales, but most of them were referral services. My CPA advised me to run, if anyone asked me for money up front, and a bunch of them did. That seemed like sound advice, and I found that to be the general consensus among the professional community. I consulted my CPA, and my real estate attorney, and both of them advised me that a realtor would be the best person to handle my house short sales. Besides, they're used to talking with lenders. I chose to go with a real estate agent who is also happens to be a broker. I feel safe in using a person like this, because she has a "fiduciary duty" to look out for my best interests, and even more so because she is a broker. That's in the real estate laws!
2) Price It: The first step is of course, to determine just how much trouble your in. The worse the situation, the better your chances of a successful short sale. Most realtors will help give you a current fair market value for your house, and what the short sale price should be. Don't waste you money on an appraisal, they won't do you any good here! Be realistic, and be aggressive in lowering the price. Don't let emotional attachment to the house set the price. You'll be even more emotional if you can't sell it! The goal is to be relieved of the debt with a successful short sale.
3) Now Do Some Figuring: Here's where I figured out if I needed a short sale. You can follow along with your own numbers: Take your total loan amount, and subtract the present value of the house. Not what it's worth, but how much you can get for it TODAY. This is how much your "Upside Down" in the loan. Then, figure your annual expenses including a year's worth of payments, taxes, insurance, maintenance, and repairs. This is your "Yearly Cost" to keep the house. Now, take the amount your upside down and multiply it by 8%. We will assume the best case scenario. In a FAST appreciating market, this is how much your house value would go up each year, if the housing bubble was over today. (yeah right!) We'll call this number: "Appreciation per Year." Finally, divide the Upside Down amount, by Appreciation per Year. This is how many years it will take just to break even with the amount you owe on your loan. No profit, no realized appreciation. Now look at your Yearly Cost to Keep the House. Is it worth it to keep it for that many years?
Here's an example: A house was purchased with a $800,000 loan. In one year it has depreciated drastically and will sell for only $600,000. (these are real California scenarios!). Should the owner short sell the house?
Upside Down: $800,000 - $600,000 = $200,000 Annual Costs: Includes all yearly expenses = $60,000 Appreciation: Assuming a booming market = $200,000 x .08 = $16,000
Conclusion: It will take 12.5 years of appreciation at 8% per year, just to regain the depreciation or loss of the original value. It will cost $60,000 a year for 12.5 years just to break even. Most of the accruing interest still won't have been paid off and full ownership won't be any closer after 12.5 years of suffering. In 12.5 years, $750,000 will have been paid in mortgage payments and expenses, just get back to the original loan value.
You don't have to guess what I decided to do. My numbers we're very similar to these. I know I'll take a hit on my credit, but for me, 2 -3 years to rebuild my credit is a lot better than 12.5 years of suffering. I'm going to call it quits and live to fight another day. - 16003
About the Author:
If you liked this story, come read some more on my blog at HouseShortSale.org. It's free and there's no sign up, just my story about how I dealt with my house short sale!
